Michael Clarkson is one of Denver's highest profile brokers. He’s been featured in Realtor® Magazine three separate times, Denver Post, Denver Business Journal, KOA Radio, KHOW Radio, and the Colorado Radio Network. Michael is a licensed Managing Broker in Colorado and a GRI (Graduate Realtor® Institute). He is also a partner in the firm, Cash Path Real Estate LLC. Michael has an MBA in International Business from Regis University in Denver.

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Friday, January 04, 2008

Denver Metro Market Trend Analysis - Denver Metro Selected Towns/Cities

This month showed continuing improvement in the selected markets shown below, which bucks the "conventional" wisdom from much of the local media.

Last month, there were 10 Seller's Markets, 3 Neutral Markets, and 4 Buyer's Markets; THIS MONTH, there are 13 Seller's Markets, 3 Neutral Markets and 1 Buyer's Market. This was most notably influenced by a 12.7% drop in active listings, with sales levels being comparable - if not entirely even - with prior months' levels. As a result, the Denver MLS (MetroList) showed a 12.7% improvement from last month.

Although the specific cause for this was not investigated, it is logical to believe the impact of holidays and the lack of sellers' desire to be "on market" over the holidays were the primary factors contributing to this change. Nevertheless, this has a positive impact on the price of homes, due to a comparatively reduced inventory (compared to previous months and years) while maintaining the trailing 12 months' average sales volume. It is logical to project that listing activity will occur in January, without a corresponding increase in purchase volume. As a result, it is reasonable to expect that inventories will bloat in January.

It is noteworthy that many builders are halting or severely reducing their "spec" or inventory homes. This should cause an upward pressure on the prices of resale homes.

Now, local conditions may vary from those shown below, so it is important to consult a REALTOR® familiar with your market to ensure you get the best advice pertaining to your neighborhood. As always, I am at your service to help you buy or sell your home.

Kind regards,

Michael Clarkson
RE/MAX Alliance
303.403.2641
MJ@MileHighHomeHunter.com

Market Trend Analysis - Denver Metro Selected Towns/Cities

Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period December 2, 2007 until January 2, 2008.

Single Family Residences Between $100k and $1,000k

Excludes Housing Not Listed in MetroList

Note: Six (5.5 to 6.5) Months of Inventory Tends to Indicate Neutral Market, Over 6.5 Months a Buyer's Market, Under 5.5 Months a Seller's Market

Locale

Active Listings

Prior 12 Months Sold

Sold per Month (Avg)

Months of Inventory (MOI)

Current Mkt State

Under Con-tract

Curr. Mo. Vs. Ann'l Sold per Mo.

Under Cont-ract vs. 12 Mo. Sold

Arvada

491

1,451

120.9

4.1

Seller's Market

109

Buyer's Trend

-10%

Broomfield

266

812

67.7

3.9

Seller's Market

60

Buyer's Trend

-11%

Castle Rock

639

1,316

109.7

5.8

Neutral Market

133

Seller's Trend

21%

Denver

3,681

7,742

645.2

5.7

Neutral Market

746

Seller's Trend

16%

Erie

160

292

24.3

6.6

Buyer's Market

33

Seller's Trend

36%

Golden

368

710

59.2

6.2

Neutral Market

49

Buyer's Trend

-17%

Highlands Ranch

292

914

76.2

3.8

Seller's Market

68

Buyer's Trend

-11%

Lafayette

72

210

17.5

4.1

Seller's Market

10

Buyer's Trend

-43%

Lakewood

496

1,404

117.0

4.2

Seller's Market

115

Buyer's Trend

-2%

Littleton

728

3,029

252.4

2.9

Seller's Market

181

Buyer's Trend

-28%

Louisville

29

101

8.4

3.4

Seller's Market

8

Buyer's Trend

-5%

Northglenn

187

415

34.6

5.4

Seller's Market

37

Seller's Trend

7%

Parker

598

1,628

135.7

4.4

Seller's Market

107

Buyer's Trend

-21%

Superior

27

134

11.2

2.4

Seller's Market

7

Buyer's Trend

-37%

Thornton

725

1,622

135.2

5.4

Seller's Market

141

Seller's Trend

4%

West-minster

557

1,251

104.3

5.3

Seller's Market

112

Seller's Trend

7%

Wheat Ridge

128

307

25.6

5.0

Seller's Market

16

Buyer's Trend

-37%

Total of Selected Towns & Locales

9,444

23,338

1,944.8

4.9

Seller's Market

1,932

Buyer's Trend

-1%

Total MetroList*

18,835

38,544

3,212.0

5.9

Neutral Market

3,840

Seller's Trend

20%

* Single Family Residences Only

http://www.MileHighHomeHunter.com

http://www.MileHighForeclosure.com

http://www.CashPathRealEstate.com

http://www.HomesInColorado.com/mclarkson

Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.

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