Michael Clarkson is one of Denver's highest profile brokers. He’s been featured in Realtor® Magazine three separate times, Denver Post, Denver Business Journal, KOA Radio, KHOW Radio, and the Colorado Radio Network. Michael is a licensed Managing Broker in Colorado and a GRI (Graduate Realtor® Institute). He is also a partner in the firm, Cash Path Real Estate LLC. Michael has an MBA in International Business from Regis University in Denver.

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Friday, July 31, 2009

The Daily Dirt - Denver Market Update - Sub-prime loans = Ford Pintos?

Mile High Home Hunter Realty
07/2009 Vol 2, Issue 7.30
The "E Block" - Economic Data
(click image to view on the Federal Reserve Site) 
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National Unemployment Rate


30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
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30-Year Mortgages
Colorado Unemployment Rate

Colorado Unemployment Rate


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Why Aren't Sub-Prime Loans Like Exploding Ford Pintos?

Money In Your Home

By Michael Clarkson
The Mile High Home Hunter

When do the "Product Liability" Lawsuits Start?   Or, why aren't sub-prime loans like exploding Ford Pintos?
 
As our nation has tumbled - and, hopefully, stabilized - through this cascade failure of ethics and rampant illegalities in the housing market, my mind turns to the people most hurt in this process:
  1. The remaining, decent, hard-working homeowners whose homes are SO FAR UNDERWATER that they can only be listed by Jacques Cousteau!
  2. State, local and school coughers now drained from reduced property valuations/taxes and/or lost transfer taxes on the sale of real estate
  3. Adults who were misled about the loans and/or the valuations on the homes they were purchasing.
    • Although I believe all adults are responsible for their actions and the contracts to which they sign their names, there are a meaningful amount of folks who get slammed with a REAM of paper at a one-hour closing and are expected to read and understand all the peculiarities/legalities of a document it took years for lawyers to prepare and seconds to sign.  
So, given these varied stakeholders being hurt - many having NOTHING to do with the transaction itself - I wonder aloud: Why aren't sub-prime mortgages considered defective [bank] products? AND, why aren't there HUGE class-action suits getting fired up?
 
I mean,
  1. A Ford Pinto gets hit from behind and explodes like an artillery shell and it's a product liability issue when people are hurt.
  2. Lead gets into toys and it's Mattel that's taken to task for faulty products and had to pay multiple millions in civil penalties for toys it DIDN'T EVEN MANUFACTURE!!!
  3. Bridgestone/Firestone made tires that spontaneously disintegrate and the trial lawyers descend like vultures on a carcass.

So, where are the "product liability" suits from the aggrieved, remaining homeowners stripped of years of equity, school districts, counties and states that lost billions in tax and fee revenue from the "defective loan products" foisted upon our great country?

 
What's the liability? Let's run some quick calculations:
 
Denver's median home price (SFR) is just over $200,000.  Let's assume this crisis has caused values uniformly across all homes in the United States of all types to drop by 5%, or $10,000.  Using that placeholder, here is the potential impact to lost equity:
  1. Nationally, per American Housing Survey: 128,203,000 homes (seasonal, rental, owner occupied) x $10,000 =   $1,282,030,000,000... Nearly $1.3 trillion! Source: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/ahs/ahs07/tab1a-1.pdf 
  2. Colorado, per the Census (est. 2006) there were 2,094,898 housing units.  Assuming that same $10,000 of lost equity due to how bad foreclosures are, that equates to $20,948,980,000 or nearly $21 billion in lost equity just in Colorado.  
In short, this touches everyone in the country -- profoundly.  Those numbers are the size of multiple TARP programs.
 
So, where are the product liability suits?
 
I can point to 100% of the remaining homeowners on any given block that are hurt from ill-conceived, manifestly corrupt loans and lending practices. 
 
Why aren't they suing? When will they?
 
I am as Conservative as they come and I am not fond of most litigation, but I wonder - again, aloud - where are the product liability lawsuits?!?!  Don't you wonder when they are coming?
 
"A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty."  - Churchill

 
As always, whenever YOU are ready, I am here Selling Colorado...One Dream at a Time™     And, if you know of someone that is looking to buy or sell, I am NEVER too busy for any of your referrals.    
 
Kind regards and happy "Home Hunting",   
 
Michael J. Clarkson
 
Broker/Owner - Mile High Home Hunter Realty 
303.332.6393
MJ@MileHighHomeHunter.com     
 
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