Michael Clarkson is one of Denver's highest profile brokers. He’s been featured in Realtor® Magazine three separate times, Denver Post, Denver Business Journal, KOA Radio, KHOW Radio, and the Colorado Radio Network. Michael is a licensed Managing Broker in Colorado and a GRI (Graduate Realtor® Institute). He is also a partner in the firm, Cash Path Real Estate LLC. Michael has an MBA in International Business from Regis University in Denver.

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Thursday, August 07, 2008

Denver Market Continues to Tighten - Median Price Housing Shortage Looms?

Is Denver facing a housing shortage?  Well, maybe not a comprehensive shortage, but one where it counts – right in the market sweet spot, the median priced home.

Over the past few months Denver has been acting counter cyclically to the national market. If you read my monthly blog, accessible from my site, www.MileHighHomeHunter.com , you know that I have been saying the local market is tightening in the sub-$300k price point.

Inventories this month are tight again:

·         Up to $100k – 2.8 months of inventory

·         $100k to $200k – 4.2 months of inventory

·         $200k to $300k – 5.1 months of inventory

·         All are improvements over last month AND all are inventories that are 1/5 to ½ of the national months of inventory, depending on the price point viewed.

For more information, go to my blog at MileHighHomeHunter.com.

Denver – A Mile High and Never Coming Down!

Michael Clarkson

The Mile High Home Hunter

 

 

Market Trend Analysis - Denver Metro Selected Towns/Cities

Based on information from MetroList, Inc. for period July 10, 2008 to August 7, 2008.

Single Family Residences - All Price Levels

Excludes Housing Not Listed in MetroList

Note: Six (5.5 to 6.5) Months of Inventory Tends to Indicate Neutral Market, Over 6.5 Months a Buyer's Market, Under 5.5 Months a Seller's Market

(How Calculated)

A

B

C = B/12

D = A/C

 E

 F = A/E

Price Range

Active

% of Market

Sold in Past 12 Months

Sold Per Month

Months of Inventory

Current Activity Status

 Curr Month Under Contract

Near Term Sales Trend

Months of Inventory if Current Month Activity Level Continues

 $             -  

 $   100,000

        885

4.30%

              3,764

          314

              2.8

 Seller's Market

                 872

Seller's Trend

                       1.0

 $   100,001

 $   200,000

     3,920

19.03%

            11,251

          938

              4.2

 Seller's Market

              1,929

Seller's Trend

                       2.0

 $   200,001

 $   300,000

     4,662

22.63%

            10,868

          906

              5.1

 Seller's Market

              1,420

Seller's Trend

                       3.3

 $   300,001

 $   400,000

     3,206

15.56%

              5,450

          454

              7.1

 Buyer's Market

                 694

Seller's Trend

                       4.6

 $   400,001

 $   500,000

     2,152

10.45%

              2,502

          209

            10.3

 Buyer's Market

                 377

Seller's Trend

                       5.7

 $   500,001

 $   600,000

     1,318

6.40%

              1,302

          109

            12.1

 Buyer's Market

                 196

Seller's Trend

                       6.7

 $   600,001

 $   700,000

        957

4.65%

                 716

            60

            16.0

 Buyer's Market

                   97

Seller's Trend

                       9.9

 $   700,001

 $   800,000

        751

3.65%

                 436

            36

            20.7

 Buyer's Market

                   61

Seller's Trend

                     12.3

 $   800,001

 $   900,000

        522

2.53%

                 327

            27

            19.2

 Buyer's Market

                   38

Seller's Trend

                     13.7

 $   900,001

 $1,000,000

        449

2.18%

                 188

            16

            28.7

 Buyer's Market

                   24

Seller's Trend

                     18.7

 $1,000,001

 No Upper Boundary

     1,776

8.62%

                 662

            55

            32.2

 Buyer's Market

                   86

Seller's Trend

                     20.7

Total (Seasonally Adjusted)*

  20,598

100.00%

           37,466

       3,122

             6.6

 Buyer's Market

             5,794

Seller's Trend

                      3.6

Total (NOT Seasonally Adjusted)**

  19,788

 xx

 xx

       4,154

             4.8

 Seller's Market

             4,764

Seller's Trend

                      4.2

http://www.MileHighHomeHunter.com

http://www.MileHighForeclosure.com

http://www.MileHighMLS.com

http://www.CashPathRealEstate.com

Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.

* Uses 12-trailing months' average to smooth out the effects of Denver's purchase season (60% Apr - Sep; 40% Oct - Mar).

** Uses raw data to show the impact of current levels of purchases on current levels of supply.  This causes substantial seasonal swings in months of inventory. MetroList cutoff date may likely differ from date of data shown above.

 

 

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